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Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. (AVAL) — Earnings Call X-Ray

Our AI read all 28 of AVAL's earnings calls (2015–2025) and answered the same battery of questions about each one. Every past call is free; the newest quarter unlocks with a free account.

Latest Call Grade
🔒
Q1 2025 · sign up to see
Previous Call Grade
B
Q4 2024
Expected Move
🔒
next 45 days · members
Calls Analyzed
28
2015–2025
Avg Candor
7/9
evasion 2.4/9
High CandorSkeptic ReassuredCritic AmmunitionPricing Under PressureMargins ContractingDemand AcceleratingCFO DominatesResults Worse Than Direction

Call-by-call analysis

🔒 Q1 2025 earnings call 2025-05-11 NEWEST

Guidance: ■■■■■Demand: ■■■■■■ Margins: ■■■■Backlog: ■■■■ ■ analysts, ■■ questionsexpected move ±■■%
Candor /9
Specificity /9
Evasion /9
Stress /9

Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.

🔒 The Q1 2025 call grade is ready
The full 37-point AI read of AVAL's newest earnings call — grade, expected move, and every question answered — is free with an account.
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B Q4 2024 earnings call 2025-02-21 move ±14.3%

Management held guidance steady against accelerating demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: acceleratingMargins: contractingPricing: under pressure 5 analysts · 8 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubtsCFO dominatesDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 6/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 3/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 5/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
YES Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C Q2 2024 earnings call 2024-08-19 move ±10.7%

Management held guidance steady against mixed demand signals and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: mixedMargins: contractingPricing: under pressure 2 analysts · 6 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts⚑ Reads rehearsedCFO dominates
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 6/9
Uncertainty 5/9
Promotion 4/9
Stress 4/9
Complexity 6/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
YES Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C Q1 2024 earnings call 2024-05-15 move ±6.2%

Management lowered guidance against slowing demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: loweredDemand: slowingMargins: contractingPricing: under pressure 2 analysts · 5 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts⚑ Reads rehearsedCFO dominatesDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 1/9
Confidence 4/9
Uncertainty 6/9
Promotion 3/9
Stress 3/9
Complexity 6/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
YES Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C+ Q4 2023 earnings call 2024-03-05 move ±6.6%

Management held guidance steady against slowing demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: slowingMargins: contractingPricing: under pressureCapex: decreasing 3 analysts · 6 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubtsCFO dominatesDirection beats results
Candor 8/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 6/9
Uncertainty 5/9
Promotion 3/9
Stress 4/9
Complexity 7/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
YES Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
YES Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C Q3 2023 earnings call 2023-11-16 move ±9.2%

Management lowered guidance against slowing demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: loweredDemand: slowingMargins: contractingPricing: under pressure
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts⚑ Reads rehearsedFounder-led
Candor 8/9
Specificity 9/9
Evasion 1/9
Confidence 6/9
Uncertainty 5/9
Promotion 3/9
Stress 4/9
Complexity 7/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
YES Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C Q2 2023 earnings call 2023-08-17 move ±9.4%

Management held guidance steady against slowing demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: slowingMargins: contractingPricing: under pressureHeadcount: growing 2 analysts · 6 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts⚑ Reads rehearsedFounder-led
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 4/9
Confidence 5/9
Uncertainty 5/9
Promotion 3/9
Stress 4/9
Complexity 6/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
YES Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
YES Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C Q1 2023 earnings call 2023-05-18 move ±11.4%

Management held guidance steady against slowing demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: slowingMargins: contractingPricing: under pressure 3 analysts · 5 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts✓ Early product, fast growthCFO dominates
Candor 7/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 6/9
Uncertainty 5/9
Promotion 3/9
Stress 4/9
Complexity 6/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
YES Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

Earlier calls

CallDateGradeGuidanceDemandMarginsCandorEvasion
Q4 2022 2023-03-06 C+ maintainedslowingcontracting 7/9 2/9
Q3 2022 2022-11-17 C maintainedslowingcontracting 7/9 2/9
Q2 2022 2022-08-11 B maintainedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 1/9
Q1 2022 2022-05-19 B+ raisedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 2/9
Q4 2021 2022-03-17 C+ maintainedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 2/9
Q3 2021 2021-11-18 C+ maintainedacceleratingstable 6/9 3/9
Q2 2021 2021-08-12 B+ raisedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q1 2021 2021-05-20 B raisedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q3 2020 2020-11-19 C+ maintainedacceleratingstable 7/9 4/9
Q2 2020 2020-08-28 C loweredslowingcontracting 8/9 2/9
Q1 2020 2020-05-20 C noneslowingcontracting 7/9 4/9
Q4 2019 2020-03-17 D maintainedunclearstable 7/9 4/9
Q3 2019 2019-11-19 B maintainedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 2/9
Q2 2019 2019-08-21 B+ raisedmixedexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q2 2017 2017-08-30 D loweredslowingexpanding 8/9 2/9
Q3 2016 2016-11-29 C+ loweredslowingexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q2 2016 2016-09-01 C+ maintainedslowingexpanding 6/9 2/9
Q1 2016 2016-05-27 C+ maintainedslowingexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q4 2015 2016-04-12 D maintainedslowingexpanding 6/9 4/9
Q3 2015 2015-12-02 C+ maintainedstablecontracting 7/9 2/9

Research question bank — earlier calls

During our 1,600-question research program, batches of experimental hypotheses were tested directly against some of AVAL's earlier calls. The YES answers — the rare hits — are shown; click any question to see every company that matched it. Full list: the question bank.

C+ Q4 2021 earnings call 2022-03-17

C+ Q2 2016 earnings call 2016-09-01

1 more research questions answered NO

How to read this page

The grade is a transparent composite of call quality — candor, specificity, low evasion, low stress, whether the call resolves more doubts than it creates, and the guidance action — not a buy or sell signal. The expected move is a volatility estimate from the one signal that survived our out-of-sample tests: how a stock's own reaction and pre-call volatility predict the size (not direction) of its next move. Full detail, including everything that failed: methodology.

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.