🔒 Q4 2021 earnings call 2022-03-10 NEWEST
Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.
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Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.
Management lowered guidance. The delivery was promotional in tone.
Management gave no formal guidance against contracting margins.
Management gave no formal guidance against contracting margins.
Management gave no formal guidance against contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, relaxed under questioning.
Management gave no formal guidance against contracting margins. The delivery was relaxed under questioning.
Management gave no formal guidance against contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid.
Management held guidance steady against contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid.
| Call | Date | Grade | Guidance | Demand | Margins | Candor | Evasion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | 2020-02-13 | D | none | unclear | unclear | 6/9 | 3/9 |
| Q2 2019 | 2019-07-25 | D | none | unclear | contracting | 6/9 | 1/9 |
| Q1 2019 | 2019-05-01 | F | maintained | unclear | unclear | 6/9 | 3/9 |
| Q4 2018 | 2019-02-28 | C | raised | unclear | unclear | 6/9 | 2/9 |
| Q3 2018 | 2018-11-01 | D | maintained | unclear | contracting | 6/9 | 3/9 |
| Q1 2018 | 2018-05-10 | D | raised | unclear | contracting | 6/9 | 3/9 |
| Q4 2017 | 2018-02-15 | F | none | unclear | contracting | 6/9 | 4/9 |
| Q3 2017 | 2017-11-05 | F | maintained | unclear | contracting | 6/9 | 3/9 |
| Q1 2017 | 2017-05-08 | C | maintained | unclear | contracting | 6/9 | 3/9 |
| Q4 2016 | 2017-02-16 | C | none | unclear | contracting | 7/9 | 2/9 |
| Q3 2016 | 2016-11-06 | D | raised | unclear | unclear | 5/9 | 4/9 |
| Q2 2016 | 2016-08-07 | C | maintained | unclear | contracting | 7/9 | 3/9 |
| Q1 2016 | 2016-05-08 | C | maintained | unclear | unclear | 6/9 | 4/9 |
| Q4 2015 | 2016-02-12 | C+ | maintained | unclear | contracting | 7/9 | 3/9 |
The grade is a transparent composite of call quality — candor, specificity, low evasion, low stress, whether the call resolves more doubts than it creates, and the guidance action — not a buy or sell signal. The expected move is a volatility estimate from the one signal that survived our out-of-sample tests: how a stock's own reaction and pre-call volatility predict the size (not direction) of its next move. Full detail, including everything that failed: methodology.
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