🔒 Q4 2024 earnings call 2025-02-25 NEWEST
Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.
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Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.
Management raised guidance against mixed demand signals and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.
Management lowered guidance against slowing demand. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.
Management held guidance steady against mixed demand signals. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.
Management held guidance steady against slowing demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.
Management lowered guidance against steady demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.
Management held guidance steady against mixed demand signals and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.
Management lowered guidance against slowing demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.
| Call | Date | Grade | Guidance | Demand | Margins | Candor | Evasion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | 2023-02-21 | C | lowered | slowing | contracting | 7/9 | 2/9 |
| Q3 2022 | 2022-11-15 | C+ | maintained | mixed | stable | 7/9 | 4/9 |
| Q2 2022 | 2022-08-16 | C+ | maintained | stable | stable | 7/9 | 3/9 |
| Q1 2022 | 2022-05-17 | A | raised | stable | contracting | 7/9 | 2/9 |
| Q4 2021 | 2022-02-22 | B+ | maintained | stable | stable | 7/9 | 3/9 |
| Q3 2021 | 2021-11-16 | B+ | maintained | accelerating | stable | 7/9 | 2/9 |
| Q2 2021 | 2021-08-17 | C+ | none | stable | contracting | 7/9 | 3/9 |
| Q1 2021 | 2021-05-18 | C+ | none | accelerating | expanding | 7/9 | 6/9 |
| Q4 2020 | 2021-02-23 | D | withdrawn | accelerating | contracting | 7/9 | 4/9 |
| Q3 2020 | 2020-11-17 | C | none | accelerating | stable | 7/9 | 5/9 |
| Q2 2020 | 2020-08-18 | C+ | none | accelerating | stable | 7/9 | 4/9 |
| Q1 2020 | 2020-05-19 | C | withdrawn | accelerating | contracting | 8/9 | 4/9 |
| Q4 2019 | 2020-02-25 | C+ | maintained | stable | contracting | 7/9 | 3/9 |
| Q3 2019 | 2019-11-19 | C | lowered | stable | contracting | 7/9 | 4/9 |
| Q2 2019 | 2019-08-20 | B+ | lowered | accelerating | contracting | 8/9 | 2/9 |
| Q1 2019 | 2019-05-21 | B | maintained | mixed | stable | 8/9 | 3/9 |
| Q4 2018 | 2019-02-26 | B+ | maintained | stable | stable | 7/9 | 3/9 |
| Q3 2018 | 2018-11-13 | B+ | raised | stable | stable | 7/9 | 3/9 |
| Q2 2018 | 2018-08-14 | A | raised | accelerating | expanding | 8/9 | 2/9 |
| Q1 2018 | 2018-05-15 | A | maintained | accelerating | contracting | 8/9 | 2/9 |
| Q4 2017 | 2018-02-20 | B+ | maintained | accelerating | stable | 8/9 | 1/9 |
| Q3 2017 | 2017-11-14 | A | raised | accelerating | stable | 8/9 | 3/9 |
| Q2 2017 | 2017-08-15 | B+ | raised | accelerating | stable | 7/9 | 2/9 |
| Q1 2017 | 2017-05-16 | A | raised | accelerating | stable | 7/9 | 1/9 |
| Q4 2016 | 2017-02-21 | A | maintained | accelerating | stable | 7/9 | 2/9 |
| Q3 2016 | 2016-11-15 | A | raised | accelerating | expanding | 8/9 | 2/9 |
| Q2 2016 | 2016-08-16 | A | raised | accelerating | expanding | 8/9 | 2/9 |
| Q1 2016 | 2016-05-17 | A | raised | accelerating | expanding | 8/9 | 2/9 |
| Q4 2015 | 2016-02-23 | A | maintained | accelerating | stable | 8/9 | 1/9 |
During our 1,600-question research program, batches of experimental hypotheses were tested directly against some of HD's earlier calls. The YES answers — the rare hits — are shown; click any question to see every company that matched it. Full list: the question bank.
The grade is a transparent composite of call quality — candor, specificity, low evasion, low stress, whether the call resolves more doubts than it creates, and the guidance action — not a buy or sell signal. The expected move is a volatility estimate from the one signal that survived our out-of-sample tests: how a stock's own reaction and pre-call volatility predict the size (not direction) of its next move. Full detail, including everything that failed: methodology.
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