The Madison Square Garden Company (MSG) — Earnings Call X-Ray
Our AI read all 16 of MSG's earnings calls (2016–2019) and answered the same battery of questions about each one. Every past call is free; the newest quarter unlocks with a free account.
Previous Call Grade
F
Q4 2019
Calls Analyzed
16
2016–2019
Avg Candor
5.8/9
evasion 4.6/9
Call-by-call analysis
🔒 Q1 2020 earnings call
2019-11-10
NEWEST
Guidance: ■■■■■Demand: ■■■■■■
Margins: ■■■■Backlog: ■■■■
■ analysts, ■■ questionsexpected move ±■■%
Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.
🔒 The Q1 2020 call grade is ready
The full 37-point AI read of MSG's newest earnings call — grade, expected move, and every question answered — is free with an account.
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F
Q4 2019 earnings call
2019-08-20
Management gave no formal guidance against mixed demand signals and contracting margins. The delivery was rich in specifics, promotional in tone.
Demand: mixedMargins: contractingPricing: raisingHeadcount: growingCapex: increasing 6 analysts · 10 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging⚑ Reads rehearsedHidden segmentDirection beats results
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
YES Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
YES Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?
F
Q3 2019 earnings call
2019-05-08
Management held guidance steady against mixed demand signals and contracting margins.
Guidance: maintainedDemand: mixedMargins: contractingBacklog: growingPricing: under pressureHeadcount: growingCapex: increasing 6 analysts · 10 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging⚑ Reads rehearsedDirection beats results
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
YES Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?
D
Q2 2019 earnings call
2019-02-01
Management gave no formal guidance against accelerating demand. The delivery was rich in specifics.
Demand: acceleratingMargins: mixedBacklog: growingPricing: raisingCapex: increasing 7 analysts · 10 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hangingDirection beats results
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
YES Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?
F
Q1 2019 earnings call
2018-11-01
Management held guidance steady against steady demand and contracting margins. The delivery was frequently evasive.
Guidance: maintainedDemand: stableMargins: contractingPricing: stableCapex: increasing 5 analysts · 8 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging⚑ Reads rehearsedDirection beats results
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?
C
Q4 2018 earnings call
2018-08-16
Management gave no formal guidance against steady demand and expanding margins. The delivery was rich in specifics.
Demand: stableMargins: expandingPricing: stableCapex: increasing 6 analysts · 13 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured⚑ Question left hanging✓ Resolves doubts⚑ Reads rehearsed
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?
From the research question bank
12 more research questions answered NO
F
Q3 2018 earnings call
2018-05-02
Management gave no formal guidance against steady demand and expanding margins. The delivery was frequently evasive, promotional in tone.
Demand: stableMargins: expandingBacklog: growingPricing: raisingCapex: increasing 5 analysts · 12 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritable⚑ Reads rehearsed
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
YES Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?
C
Q2 2018 earnings call
2018-02-02
Management gave no formal guidance against steady demand and expanding margins. The delivery was rich in specifics.
Demand: stableMargins: expandingBacklog: growingPricing: raisingCapex: increasing 6 analysts · 9 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts⚑ Reads rehearsed
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?
Earlier calls
| Call | Date | Grade | Guidance | Demand | Margins | Candor | Evasion |
|---|
| Q1 2018 |
2017-11-03 |
C |
none | accelerating | expanding |
5/9 |
4/9 |
| Q4 2017 |
2017-08-17 |
D |
none | mixed | unclear |
6/9 |
5/9 |
| Q3 2017 |
2017-05-05 |
C |
none | accelerating | expanding |
6/9 |
4/9 |
| Q2 2017 |
2017-02-03 |
D |
none | stable | expanding |
5/9 |
4/9 |
| Q1 2017 |
2016-11-04 |
C |
none | accelerating | contracting |
6/9 |
4/9 |
| Q4 2016 |
2016-08-19 |
D |
none | mixed | contracting |
7/9 |
4/9 |
| Q3 2016 |
2016-05-06 |
F |
none | stable | unclear |
6/9 |
4/9 |
| Q2 2016 |
2016-02-04 |
F |
none | stable | expanding |
5/9 |
6/9 |
How to read this page
The grade is a transparent composite of call quality — candor, specificity, low evasion, low stress, whether the call resolves more doubts than it creates, and the guidance action — not a buy or sell signal. The expected move is a volatility estimate from the one signal that survived our out-of-sample tests: how a stock's own reaction and pre-call volatility predict the size (not direction) of its next move. Full detail, including everything that failed: methodology.
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