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Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS) — Earnings Call X-Ray

Our AI read all 38 of TLYS's earnings calls (2015–2025) and answered the same battery of questions about each one. Every past call is free; the newest quarter unlocks with a free account.

Latest Call Grade
🔒
Q1 2025 · sign up to see
Previous Call Grade
D
Q4 2024
Expected Move
🔒
next 45 days · members
Calls Analyzed
38
2015–2025
Avg Candor
7.4/9
evasion 2.6/9
Guidance LoweredHigh CandorCritic AmmunitionFounder-LedUnderused Fixed CostsPricing Under PressureMargins ContractingDemand Slowing

Call-by-call analysis

🔒 Q1 2025 earnings call 2025-06-04 NEWEST

Guidance: ■■■■■Demand: ■■■■■■ Margins: ■■■■Backlog: ■■■■ ■ analysts, ■■ questionsexpected move ±■■%
Candor /9
Specificity /9
Evasion /9
Stress /9

Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.

🔒 The Q1 2025 call grade is ready
The full 37-point AI read of TLYS's newest earnings call — grade, expected move, and every question answered — is free with an account.
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D Q4 2024 earnings call 2025-03-12 move ±27.6%

Management lowered guidance against slowing demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: loweredDemand: slowingMargins: contractingPricing: under pressureHeadcount: cuttingCapex: decreasing 2 analysts · 9 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritableFounder-ledCFO dominatesDirection beats results
Candor 8/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 1/9
Confidence 4/9
Uncertainty 6/9
Promotion 2/9
Stress 5/9
Complexity 3/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
YES Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

D Q3 2024 earnings call 2024-12-05 move ±14.7%

Management held guidance steady against mixed demand signals and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: mixedMargins: contractingPricing: under pressureHeadcount: cuttingCapex: decreasing 2 analysts · 7 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritableFounder-ledCFO dominatesDirection beats results
Candor 8/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 4/9
Uncertainty 6/9
Promotion 3/9
Stress 5/9
Complexity 3/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
YES Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

D Q2 2024 earnings call 2024-09-05 move ±16.2%

Management held guidance steady against slowing demand and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: slowingMargins: expandingPricing: stableHeadcount: cuttingCapex: flat 1 analysts · 2 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hangingCFO dominatesDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 5/9
Confidence 4/9
Uncertainty 6/9
Promotion 4/9
Stress 5/9
Complexity 3/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
YES Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

D Q1 2024 earnings call 2024-06-06 move ±10.2%

Management held guidance steady against slowing demand and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: slowingMargins: expandingPricing: under pressureCapex: increasing 4 analysts · 11 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritableFounder-ledCFO dominatesDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 6/9
Evasion 5/9
Confidence 4/9
Uncertainty 6/9
Promotion 3/9
Stress 4/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
YES Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
YES Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

D Q4 2023 earnings call 2024-03-14 move ±10.6%

Management lowered guidance against mixed demand signals. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: loweredDemand: mixedPricing: raisingHeadcount: flatCapex: decreasing 4 analysts · 13 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hangingFounder-ledCFO dominatesDirection beats results
Candor 8/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 3/9
Confidence 5/9
Uncertainty 6/9
Promotion 3/9
Stress 3/9
Complexity 2/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
YES Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
YES Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?
From the research question bank

C Q3 2023 earnings call 2023-11-30 move ±8.8%

Management gave no formal guidance against slowing demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Demand: slowingMargins: contractingPricing: under pressureCapex: decreasing 4 analysts · 12 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritableDirection beats results
Candor 8/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 5/9
Uncertainty 6/9
Promotion 1/9
Stress 3/9
Complexity 2/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C Q2 2023 earnings call 2023-08-31 move ±9.6%

Management held guidance steady against slowing demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: slowingMargins: contractingPricing: stableHeadcount: flatCapex: decreasing 3 analysts · 10 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Guidance underwritableCFO dominatesDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 5/9
Uncertainty 6/9
Promotion 3/9
Stress 3/9
Complexity 2/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
YES Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

Earlier calls

CallDateGradeGuidanceDemandMarginsCandorEvasion
Q4 2022 2023-03-09 C loweredslowingcontracting 8/9 1/9
Q3 2022 2022-12-01 D loweredslowingcontracting 8/9 2/9
Q2 2022 2022-09-01 C+ maintainedslowingcontracting 8/9 2/9
Q1 2022 2022-06-02 B+ maintainedslowingcontracting 8/9 1/9
Q4 2021 2022-03-10 D loweredslowingcontracting 8/9 2/9
Q3 2021 2021-12-02 B+ maintainedacceleratingexpanding 8/9 2/9
Q2 2021 2021-09-02 B maintainedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q1 2021 2021-06-03 C+ noneacceleratingexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q4 2020 2021-03-11 D withdrawnmixedexpanding 7/9 5/9
Q3 2020 2020-12-03 C withdrawnmixedcontracting 8/9 3/9
Q2 2020 2020-09-03 D withdrawnmixedcontracting 7/9 4/9
Q1 2020 2020-06-03 F withdrawnmixedcontracting 8/9 5/9
Q4 2019 2020-03-12 D withdrawnmixedcontracting 8/9 2/9
Q3 2019 2019-12-04 B+ maintainedstableexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q2 2019 2019-08-28 B+ maintainedacceleratingstable 7/9 2/9
Q1 2019 2019-05-29 C maintainedslowingcontracting 8/9 2/9
Q4 2018 2019-03-14 B maintainedmixedcontracting 8/9 2/9
Q3 2018 2018-11-28 A maintainedstablecontracting 8/9 2/9
Q2 2018 2018-08-29 B maintainedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q1 2018 2018-05-30 B maintainedmixedexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q4 2017 2018-03-12 C+ maintainedmixedexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q3 2017 2017-11-29 B+ maintainedstableexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q2 2017 2017-08-23 B+ maintainedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q1 2017 2017-05-23 C+ maintainedmixedcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q4 2016 2017-03-13 D loweredmixedcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q3 2016 2016-11-30 C maintainedmixedcontracting 6/9 5/9
Q2 2016 2016-08-24 C+ maintainedmixedexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q1 2016 2016-05-25 C maintainedmixedcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q4 2015 2016-03-16 F loweredslowingcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q3 2015 2015-12-02 D loweredslowingcontracting 8/9 3/9

How to read this page

The grade is a transparent composite of call quality — candor, specificity, low evasion, low stress, whether the call resolves more doubts than it creates, and the guidance action — not a buy or sell signal. The expected move is a volatility estimate from the one signal that survived our out-of-sample tests: how a stock's own reaction and pre-call volatility predict the size (not direction) of its next move. Full detail, including everything that failed: methodology.

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.