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Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) — Earnings Call X-Ray

Our AI read all 39 of TSLA's earnings calls (2016–2025) and answered the same battery of questions about each one. Every past call is free; the newest quarter unlocks with a free account.

Latest Call Grade
🔒
Q2 2025 · sign up to see
Previous Call Grade
F
Q1 2025
Expected Move
🔒
next 45 days · members
Calls Analyzed
39
2016–2025
Avg Candor
6.6/9
evasion 4.1/9
Signs of StressPromotional ToneCritic AmmunitionFounder-LedVolume Step-UpUnderused Fixed CostsMargins ContractingCapex Increasing

Call-by-call analysis

🔒 Q2 2025 earnings call 2025-07-23 NEWEST

Guidance: ■■■■■Demand: ■■■■■■ Margins: ■■■■Backlog: ■■■■ ■ analysts, ■■ questionsexpected move ±■■%
Candor /9
Specificity /9
Evasion /9
Stress /9

Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.

🔒 The Q2 2025 call grade is ready
The full 37-point AI read of TSLA's newest earnings call — grade, expected move, and every question answered — is free with an account.
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F Q1 2025 earnings call 2025-04-22 move ±20.4%

Management held guidance steady against mixed demand signals and contracting margins. The delivery was visibly under pressure, promotional in tone.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: mixedMargins: contractingPricing: stableCapex: increasing 8 analysts · 13 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Volume step-up aheadFounder-ledDirection beats results
Candor 5/9
Specificity 6/9
Evasion 4/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 9/9
Stress 7/9
Complexity 7/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
YES Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
YES Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

F Q4 2024 earnings call 2025-01-29 move ±12.6%

Management held guidance steady against mixed demand signals and contracting margins. The delivery was promotional in tone.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: mixedMargins: contractingPricing: under pressureCapex: flat 4 analysts · 9 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Volume step-up ahead✓ Early product, fast growthFounder-ledDirection beats results
Candor 6/9
Specificity 5/9
Evasion 3/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 9/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 7/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
YES Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
YES Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

D Q3 2024 earnings call 2024-10-23 move ±27.7%

Management raised guidance against accelerating demand. The delivery was rich in specifics, promotional in tone.

Guidance: raisedDemand: acceleratingMargins: stableBacklog: growingPricing: under pressureHeadcount: cuttingCapex: increasing 2 analysts · 3 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Prepayments growing✓ Volume step-up ahead✓ Early product, fast growthFounder-led
Candor 5/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 4/9
Confidence 9/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 9/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 7/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
YES Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
YES Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
YES Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

F Q2 2024 earnings call 2024-07-24 move ±14%

Management held guidance steady against mixed demand signals. The delivery was promotional in tone.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: mixedMargins: stableBacklog: growingPricing: under pressureHeadcount: cuttingCapex: increasing 8 analysts · 15 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Volume step-up ahead✓ Early product, fast growthFounder-ledDirection beats results
Candor 6/9
Specificity 6/9
Evasion 5/9
Confidence 9/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 9/9
Stress 4/9
Complexity 7/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
YES Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
YES Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

F Q1 2024 earnings call 2024-04-23 move ±19.4%

Management held guidance steady against slowing demand and contracting margins. The delivery was rich in specifics, promotional in tone.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: slowingMargins: contractingBacklog: stablePricing: under pressureHeadcount: cuttingCapex: increasing 8 analysts · 14 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Volume step-up ahead✓ Early product, fast growthFounder-ledHidden segment
Candor 6/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 4/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 9/9
Stress 5/9
Complexity 7/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
YES Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
YES Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
YES Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

F Q4 2023 earnings call 2024-01-24 move ±17.7%

Management lowered guidance against slowing demand. The delivery was unusually candid, promotional in tone.

Guidance: loweredDemand: slowingBacklog: growingPricing: under pressureCapex: increasing 4 analysts · 8 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Volume step-up ahead✓ Early product, fast growthFounder-ledDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 6/9
Evasion 5/9
Confidence 7/9
Uncertainty 6/9
Promotion 8/9
Stress 3/9
Complexity 6/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
YES Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
YES Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

F Q3 2023 earnings call 2023-10-18 move ±16.3%

Management held guidance steady against mixed demand signals and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics, promotional in tone.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: mixedMargins: contractingBacklog: growingPricing: under pressureCapex: increasing 5 analysts · 8 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Early product, fast growthFounder-ledDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 5/9
Confidence 6/9
Uncertainty 6/9
Promotion 7/9
Stress 5/9
Complexity 6/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
YES Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?
From the research question bank
1 more research questions answered NO

Earlier calls

CallDateGradeGuidanceDemandMarginsCandorEvasion
Q2 2023 2023-07-19 F maintainedstablecontracting 6/9 5/9
Q1 2023 2023-04-19 D maintainedstablecontracting 7/9 5/9
Q4 2022 2023-01-25 D maintainedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 4/9
Q3 2022 2022-10-19 D maintainedstablecontracting 6/9 4/9
Q2 2022 2022-07-20 C maintainedstablecontracting 7/9 3/9
Q1 2022 2022-04-20 C+ maintainedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q4 2021 2022-01-26 D maintainedacceleratingexpanding 6/9 4/9
Q3 2021 2021-10-20 C+ maintainedacceleratingexpanding 8/9 4/9
Q2 2021 2021-07-26 D maintainedacceleratingexpanding 8/9 3/9
Q1 2021 2021-04-27 D maintainedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 4/9
Q4 2020 2021-01-27 D maintainedacceleratingexpanding 6/9 4/9
Q3 2020 2020-10-21 C+ raisedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q2 2020 2020-07-22 D maintainedacceleratingcontracting 6/9 5/9
Q1 2020 2020-04-29 F maintainedstableexpanding 6/9 3/9
Q4 2019 2020-01-30 D maintainedacceleratingexpanding 6/9 4/9
Q3 2019 2019-10-24 C+ noneacceleratingexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q2 2019 2019-07-24 D maintainedacceleratingexpanding 6/9 4/9
Q1 2019 2019-04-25 D maintainedstablecontracting 7/9 4/9
Q4 2018 2019-01-31 D maintainedstableexpanding 7/9 5/9
Q3 2018 2018-10-25 B+ raisedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q2 2018 2018-08-02 B raisedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q1 2018 2018-05-03 F loweredacceleratingcontracting 6/9 5/9
Q4 2017 2018-02-07 D maintainedacceleratingcontracting 8/9 4/9
Q3 2017 2017-11-02 F loweredacceleratingunclear 8/9 5/9
Q2 2017 2017-08-03 D maintainedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 4/9
Q1 2017 2017-05-04 D maintainedmixedstable 7/9 4/9
Q4 2016 2017-02-23 D maintainedacceleratingunclear 7/9 4/9
Q3 2016 2016-10-27 D loweredacceleratingexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q2 2016 2016-08-03 D maintainedstableexpanding 8/9 5/9
Q1 2016 2016-05-05 D raisedacceleratingunclear 6/9 5/9
Q4 2015 2016-02-11 D maintainedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 5/9

Research question bank — earlier calls

During our 1,600-question research program, batches of experimental hypotheses were tested directly against some of TSLA's earlier calls. The YES answers — the rare hits — are shown; click any question to see every company that matched it. Full list: the question bank.

B Q2 2018 earnings call 2018-08-02

F Q1 2018 earnings call 2018-05-03

1 more research questions answered NO

D Q4 2016 earnings call 2017-02-23

1 more research questions answered NO

D Q3 2016 earnings call 2016-10-27

1 more research questions answered NO

How to read this page

The grade is a transparent composite of call quality — candor, specificity, low evasion, low stress, whether the call resolves more doubts than it creates, and the guidance action — not a buy or sell signal. The expected move is a volatility estimate from the one signal that survived our out-of-sample tests: how a stock's own reaction and pre-call volatility predict the size (not direction) of its next move. Full detail, including everything that failed: methodology.

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.